Weekly Market Insights

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September 12, 2025 Volume 12 Issue 37

The S&P 500 rose approximately 1.6%, marking the biggest gain since the weekend of August 8th. The healthcare sector led the market lower, with 7 out of 11 sectors declining. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq increased for the fifth consecutive day, rising 0.44% and up 2% over the week. Small caps, represented by the Russell 2000, fell 1.15%, the largest decline since August 14th. High-yield bonds continue to support the long-term strength of stocks. The USD index gained 0.06%, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose by 3.8 basis points to 4.06%. In commodities, gold prices surged above $3,600 per troy ounce on Monday, reaching a new record high as expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts and concerns over central bank independence fueled a strong rally in the precious metal.

Mike Wilson from Morgan Stanley noted in a Monday report that “The equity market’s ability to tolerate labor market weakness is conditional on the monetary policy response being significant enough to counter the growth risks.”

In a posting on X Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Bessent said, “President Trump inherited a far worse economy than reported, and he’s right to say the Fed is choking off growth with high rates.” Treasury Secretary Bessent, consistent with the Trump administration, is criticizing the Fed, stating that the institution should recalibrate after revised US data and mission creep. He called on the Federal Reserve to adjust its policy stance after a government agency revised US jobs data to show weaker hiring in the year through March. Bloomberg data reveals that average households have not made economic progress since the COVID-19 pandemic began, highlighting the ongoing impact of rising prices.

Within the ongoing policy theme of deregulation, the Long-Term Stock Exchange plans to petition the Securities and Exchange Commission to remove the quarterly earnings report requirement and instead allow companies to share results twice a year, the group told The Wall Street Journal.  Have a great weekend!

Have a great weekend!

The data and commentary provided herein is for informational purposes only. No warranty is made with respect to any information provided. It is offered with the understanding that Hilltop Holdings Inc., PlainsCapital Corporation, Hilltop Securities and PlainsCapital Bank (collectively “PCB”) are not, hereby, rendering financial and/or investment advice, and use of the same does not create any relationship with PCB. This is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities that may be described or referred to herein. PCB does not provide tax or legal advice. Please consult your own tax or legal advisor regarding your specific situation.  Whether any of the information contained herein applies to a specific situation depends on the facts of that particular situation. Investment and estate planning and management decisions may have significant financial consequences and should be made only after consulting with professionals qualified to offer legal, accounting and taxation advice. Neither this document nor any portion of its content’s supplements, amends or modifies any account agreement with PCB. Unless otherwise noted:

*All economic release data referenced from public sources believed to be accurate. *The source of data for all charts/graphs included in this presentation is Bloomberg LP. *Figures quoted represent monthly changes (m/m) and are seasonally adjusted.

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