Weekly Market Insights

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May 29, 2026 Volume 13 Issue 21

U.S. equities were led by tech-focused indexes and small caps, with the Dow and equal-weighted shares lagging. Emerging markets and the Asia-Pacific outperformed developed markets. Sector leaders included technology, consumer discretionary, and materials, while energy, staples, utilities, and real estate lagged. Long-term Treasuries led fixed income. Natural gas, copper, and gold outperformed oil and wheat. Alternatives were mixed: private equity and managed futures outperformed REITs, MLPs, and bitcoin.

Weekly economic commentary noted that the labor market was in decent shape despite softer demand and modest wage growth. Consumer spending was resilient, supported by lower savings and older households. Corporate profits focused on semiconductors and memory, with AI demand and chip shortages boosting earnings.

Inflation remained central to the narrative. Consumer prices were reported to be running at 3.8%, above the Fed’s 2% target for more than 5 years, with pressure tied to the Iran conflict, import duties, and energy costs. Food inflation was also highlighted as a growing strain, while cumulative price increases since the end of the COVID lockdowns were shown to be outpacing wage gains.

Policy focus remained on inflation risks and the possibility that price pressures could become embedded. Fed officials stressed inflation was still high, signaling readiness to keep policy restrictive or tighten further if disinflation didn’t occur. Debate also continued on balance-sheet policy, elevated Treasury yields, and limited measures like a gas-tax holiday.

Throughout the week, several themes recurred: AI remained the market’s dominant organizing force, shaping leadership, earnings expectations, and questions about whether investment would translate into lasting productivity gains. Markets also showed dispersion, challenging active managers and reinforcing ETF adoption, while developments in the Middle East continued to influence inflation concerns, yields, and broader risk sentiment.

Have a great weekend!

The data and commentary provided herein is for informational purposes only. No warranty is made with respect to any information provided. It is offered with the understanding that Hilltop Holdings Inc., PlainsCapital Corporation, Hilltop Securities and PlainsCapital Bank (collectively “PCB”) are not, hereby, rendering financial and/or investment advice, and use of the same does not create any relationship with PCB. This is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities that may be described or referred to herein. PCB does not provide tax or legal advice. Please consult your own tax or legal advisor regarding your specific situation.  Whether any of the information contained herein applies to a specific situation depends on the facts of that particular situation. Investment and estate planning and management decisions may have significant financial consequences and should be made only after consulting with professionals qualified to offer legal, accounting and taxation advice. Neither this document nor any portion of its content’s supplements, amends or modifies any account agreement with PCB. Unless otherwise noted:

*All economic release data referenced from public sources believed to be accurate. *The source of data for all charts/graphs included in this presentation is Bloomberg LP. *Figures quoted represent monthly changes (m/m) and are seasonally adjusted.

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